Brit Predictor

West Ham vs Charlton prediction

England Championship · Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeWest Ham 1–2 CharltonResult 2

Who wins?

West HamDrawCharlton
Model 1 ✗
48%28%24%
Market 1 ✗
69%18%13%

Brit Predictor's model rates West Ham to win as the most likely result (48%). It gives West Ham 48% at home, a draw 28% and Charlton 24%, so its call is 1: West Ham to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 69% / 18% / 13%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.5 for West Ham and 1.0 for Charlton; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 57%. Careful: there is little recent data on West Ham, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.5 – 1.0
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 57%
Both teams score48%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

West Ham

Attack 7th of 24, defence 17th of 24 in the league.

D
  • D 2-2 at Burnley 2026-08-16

Charlton

Attack 24th of 24, defence 9th of 24 in the league.

WLWLD
  • W 2-1 v Derby 2026-08-15
  • L 1-3 at Swansea 2026-05-02
  • W 2-1 v Hull 2026-04-25
  • L 1-2 v Ipswich 2026-04-22
  • D 1-1 at Sheffield Weds 2026-04-18

From 1116 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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