Lincoln vs Portsmouth prediction
England Championship · Saturday 22 August 2026, 13:30 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Lincoln to win as the most likely result (38%). It gives Lincoln 38% at home, a draw 28% and Portsmouth 34%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 41% / 28% / 31%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.3 for Lincoln and 1.2 for Portsmouth; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 53%. Careful: there is little recent data on Lincoln, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Lincoln
Attack 20th of 24, defence 23rd of 24 in the league.
- L 1-2 at Middlesbrough 2026-08-15
Portsmouth
Attack 15th of 24, defence 19th of 24 in the league.
- L 1-3 v QPR 2026-08-15
- D 1-1 v Birmingham 2026-05-02
- W 3-1 at Stoke 2026-04-25
- L 1-5 at Coventry 2026-04-21
- W 1-0 v Leicester 2026-04-18
From 1116 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Sat 22 Aug
- Birmingham vs Bristol City · FT 2–2
- Millwall vs Norwich · FT 3–0
- Wrexham vs Watford · FT 1–1
- West Ham vs Charlton · FT 1–2
- Southampton vs Stoke · FT 3–1
- Swansea vs Sheffield United · FT 0–0
- Preston vs Wolves · FT 1–3
- Derby vs Cardiff · FT 2–2
- Blackburn vs Middlesbrough · FT 2–1
- QPR vs Bolton · FT 0–0