Birmingham vs Bristol City prediction
England Championship · Saturday 22 August 2026, 13:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Birmingham to win as the most likely result (43%). It gives Birmingham 43% at home, a draw 30% and Bristol City 28%, so its call is 1: Birmingham to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 56% / 25% / 19%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.3 for Birmingham and 1.0 for Bristol City; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 59%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Birmingham
Attack 14th of 24, defence 4th of 24 in the league.
- D 0-0 at Sheffield United 2026-08-15
- D 1-1 at Portsmouth 2026-05-02
- W 2-1 v Bristol City 2026-04-25
- W 2-1 v Preston 2026-04-22
- D 1-1 at Hull 2026-04-18
Bristol City
Attack 12th of 24, defence 12th of 24 in the league.
- L 0-2 v Millwall 2026-08-15
- W 2-0 v Stoke 2026-05-02
- L 1-2 at Birmingham 2026-04-25
- D 2-2 at Southampton 2026-04-21
- L 2-4 v Norwich 2026-04-18
From 1116 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Sat 22 Aug
- Lincoln vs Portsmouth · FT 1–3
- Millwall vs Norwich · FT 3–0
- Wrexham vs Watford · FT 1–1
- West Ham vs Charlton · FT 1–2
- Southampton vs Stoke · FT 3–1
- Swansea vs Sheffield United · FT 0–0
- Preston vs Wolves · FT 1–3
- Derby vs Cardiff · FT 2–2
- Blackburn vs Middlesbrough · FT 2–1
- QPR vs Bolton · FT 0–0