Brit Predictor

Blackburn vs Middlesbrough prediction

England Championship · Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeBlackburn 2–1 MiddlesbroughResult 1

Who wins?

BlackburnDrawMiddlesbrough
Model 2 ✗
28%31%41%
Market 2 ✗
25%26%49%

Brit Predictor's model rates Middlesbrough to win as the most likely result (41%). It gives Blackburn 28% at home, a draw 31% and Middlesbrough 41%, so its call is 2: Middlesbrough to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 25% / 26% / 49%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.0 for Blackburn and 1.2 for Middlesbrough; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 63%.

Expected goals1.0 – 1.2
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 63%
Both teams score44%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Blackburn

Attack 23rd of 24, defence 5th of 24 in the league.

DLWDL
  • D 2-2 at Wolves 2026-08-14
  • L 0-1 v Leicester 2026-05-02
  • W 3-1 at Sheffield United 2026-04-22
  • D 1-1 v Coventry 2026-04-17
  • L 0-3 at Southampton 2026-04-14

Middlesbrough

Attack 3rd of 24, defence 3rd of 24 in the league.

WDWWD
  • W 2-1 v Lincoln 2026-08-15
  • D 2-2 at Wrexham 2026-05-02
  • W 5-1 v Watford 2026-04-25
  • W 1-0 v Sheffield Weds 2026-04-22
  • D 2-2 at Ipswich 2026-04-19

From 1116 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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