Southampton vs Stoke prediction
England Championship · Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Southampton to win as the most likely result (63%). It gives Southampton 63% at home, a draw 22% and Stoke 15%, so its call is 1: Southampton to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 60% / 22% / 18%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.1 for Southampton and 0.9 for Stoke; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 57%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Southampton
Attack 1st of 24, defence 8th of 24 in the league.
- L 1-2 at Watford 2026-08-16
- W 3-1 at Preston 2026-05-02
- D 2-2 v Ipswich 2026-04-28
- D 2-2 v Bristol City 2026-04-21
- W 2-1 at Swansea 2026-04-18
Stoke
Attack 21st of 24, defence 14th of 24 in the league.
- L 1-2 v Swansea 2026-08-15
- L 0-2 at Bristol City 2026-05-02
- L 1-3 v Portsmouth 2026-04-25
- L 1-3 v Millwall 2026-04-21
- L 0-2 at Wrexham 2026-04-18
From 1116 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Sat 22 Aug
- Birmingham vs Bristol City · FT 2–2
- Lincoln vs Portsmouth · FT 1–3
- Millwall vs Norwich · FT 3–0
- Wrexham vs Watford · FT 1–1
- West Ham vs Charlton · FT 1–2
- Swansea vs Sheffield United · FT 0–0
- Preston vs Wolves · FT 1–3
- Derby vs Cardiff · FT 2–2
- Blackburn vs Middlesbrough · FT 2–1
- QPR vs Bolton · FT 0–0