Preston vs Wolves prediction
England Championship · Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Preston to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives Preston 42% at home, a draw 27% and Wolves 31%, so its call is 1: Preston to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 26% / 27% / 47%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.5 for Preston and 1.2 for Wolves; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 51%. Careful: there is little recent data on Wolves, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Preston
Attack 16th of 24, defence 15th of 24 in the league.
- L 1-2 at Bolton 2026-08-15
- L 1-3 v Southampton 2026-05-02
- W 3-2 at Sheffield United 2026-04-25
- L 1-2 at Birmingham 2026-04-22
- L 0-2 v West Brom 2026-04-18
Wolves
Attack 11th of 24, defence 20th of 24 in the league.
- D 2-2 v Blackburn 2026-08-14
From 1116 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Sat 22 Aug
- Birmingham vs Bristol City · FT 2–2
- Lincoln vs Portsmouth · FT 1–3
- Millwall vs Norwich · FT 3–0
- Wrexham vs Watford · FT 1–1
- West Ham vs Charlton · FT 1–2
- Southampton vs Stoke · FT 3–1
- Swansea vs Sheffield United · FT 0–0
- Derby vs Cardiff · FT 2–2
- Blackburn vs Middlesbrough · FT 2–1
- QPR vs Bolton · FT 0–0