QPR vs Bolton prediction
England Championship · Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates QPR to win as the most likely result (49%). It gives QPR 49% at home, a draw 25% and Bolton 26%, so its call is 1: QPR to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 51% / 25% / 24%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.7 for QPR and 1.2 for Bolton; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 55%. Careful: there is little recent data on Bolton, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
QPR
Attack 8th of 24, defence 22nd of 24 in the league.
- W 3-1 at Portsmouth 2026-08-15
- L 0-3 at Ipswich 2026-05-02
- L 2-3 v Derby 2026-04-25
- L 1-2 v Swansea 2026-04-21
- L 0-2 at Millwall 2026-04-18
Bolton
Attack 19th of 24, defence 21st of 24 in the league.
- W 2-1 v Preston 2026-08-15
From 1116 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Sat 22 Aug
- Birmingham vs Bristol City · FT 2–2
- Lincoln vs Portsmouth · FT 1–3
- Millwall vs Norwich · FT 3–0
- Wrexham vs Watford · FT 1–1
- West Ham vs Charlton · FT 1–2
- Southampton vs Stoke · FT 3–1
- Swansea vs Sheffield United · FT 0–0
- Preston vs Wolves · FT 1–3
- Derby vs Cardiff · FT 2–2
- Blackburn vs Middlesbrough · FT 2–1