Test phase. This game day is from before the site went live on Monday 2 November 2026. It isn't counted in the track record.
Millwall vs Norwich prediction
England Championship · Saturday 22 August 2026, 13:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Millwall to win as the most likely result (47%). It gives Millwall 47% at home, a draw 28% and Norwich 25%, so its call is 1: Millwall to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 34% / 27% / 39%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.5 for Millwall and 1.0 for Norwich; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 54%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Millwall
Attack 10th of 24, defence 2nd of 24 in the league.
- W 2-0 at Bristol City 2026-08-15
- W 2-0 v Oxford 2026-05-02
- D 1-1 at Leicester 2026-04-24
- W 3-1 at Stoke 2026-04-21
- W 2-0 v QPR 2026-04-18
Norwich
Attack 5th of 24, defence 13th of 24 in the league.
- L 1-2 v West Brom 2026-08-15
- L 1-2 at Hull 2026-05-02
- D 1-1 v Swansea 2026-04-25
- W 2-1 v Derby 2026-04-21
- W 4-2 at Bristol City 2026-04-18
From 1116 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Sat 22 Aug
- Birmingham vs Bristol City · FT 2–2
- Lincoln vs Portsmouth · FT 1–3
- Wrexham vs Watford · FT 1–1
- West Ham vs Charlton · FT 1–2
- Southampton vs Stoke · FT 3–1
- Swansea vs Sheffield United · FT 0–0
- Preston vs Wolves · FT 1–3
- Derby vs Cardiff · FT 2–2
- Blackburn vs Middlesbrough · FT 2–1
- QPR vs Bolton · FT 0–0