Swansea vs Wrexham prediction
England Championship · Saturday 5 September 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Swansea to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives Swansea 42% at home, a draw 27% and Wrexham 31%, so its call is 1: Swansea to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 43% / 28% / 29%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.5 for Swansea and 1.3 for Wrexham; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 52%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Swansea
Attack 13th of 24, defence 6th of 24 in the league.
- W 2-0 v Watford 2026-09-01
- W 3-0 at Derby 2026-08-29
- D 0-0 v Sheffield United 2026-08-22
- W 2-1 at Stoke 2026-08-15
- W 3-1 v Charlton 2026-05-02
Wrexham
Attack 4th of 24, defence 17th of 24 in the league.
- W 3-0 at Millwall 2026-09-02
- L 1-2 v Birmingham 2026-08-28
- D 1-1 v Watford 2026-08-22
- D 1-1 at Cardiff 2026-08-17
- D 2-2 v Middlesbrough 2026-05-02
From 1152 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Sat 5 Sep
- Stoke vs Charlton · FT 4–0
- Preston vs Blackburn · FT 2–1
- Lincoln vs Southampton · FT 1–1
- Burnley vs Bristol City · FT 1–2
- Millwall vs Bolton · FT 4–0
- Portsmouth vs Cardiff · FT 2–0
- QPR vs Middlesbrough · FT 0–1
- Sheffield United vs Norwich · FT 1–3
- West Brom vs Watford · FT 1–0
- West Ham vs Derby · FT 3–0