Brit Predictor

QPR vs Middlesbrough prediction

England Championship · Saturday 5 September 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeQPR 0–1 MiddlesbroughResult 2

Who wins?

QPRDrawMiddlesbrough
Model 2 ✓
30%27%43%
Market 12 ✓
32%26%42%

Brit Predictor's model rates Middlesbrough to win as the most likely result (43%). It gives QPR 30% at home, a draw 27% and Middlesbrough 43%, so its call is 2: Middlesbrough to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 32% / 26% / 42%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.3 for QPR and 1.6 for Middlesbrough; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 54%.

Expected goals1.3 – 1.6
GoalsOver 2.5 · 54%
Both teams score58%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

QPR

Attack 9th of 24, defence 22nd of 24 in the league.

WWDWL
  • W 2-1 v Cardiff 2026-09-02
  • W 2-1 at Blackburn 2026-08-29
  • D 0-0 v Bolton 2026-08-22
  • W 3-1 at Portsmouth 2026-08-15
  • L 0-3 at Ipswich 2026-05-02

Middlesbrough

Attack 5th of 24, defence 3rd of 24 in the league.

DWLWD
  • D 1-1 at Burnley 2026-09-02
  • W 3-1 v West Brom 2026-08-29
  • L 1-2 at Blackburn 2026-08-22
  • W 2-1 v Lincoln 2026-08-15
  • D 2-2 at Wrexham 2026-05-02

From 1152 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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