Lincoln vs Southampton prediction
England Championship · Saturday 5 September 2026, 13:30 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Southampton to win as the most likely result (56%). It gives Lincoln 20% at home, a draw 24% and Southampton 56%, so its call is 2: Southampton to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 22% / 23% / 54%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.0 for Lincoln and 1.9 for Southampton; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 56%. Careful: there is little recent data on Lincoln, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Lincoln
Attack 24th of 24, defence 16th of 24 in the league.
- D 0-0 v Blackburn 2026-09-01
- W 1-0 at Bolton 2026-08-29
- L 1-3 v Portsmouth 2026-08-22
- L 1-2 at Middlesbrough 2026-08-15
Southampton
Attack 1st of 24, defence 10th of 24 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Birmingham 2026-09-01
- W 5-1 v Millwall 2026-08-29
- W 3-1 v Stoke 2026-08-22
- L 1-2 at Watford 2026-08-16
- W 3-1 at Preston 2026-05-02
From 1152 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Sat 5 Sep
- Stoke vs Charlton · FT 4–0
- Preston vs Blackburn · FT 2–1
- Burnley vs Bristol City · FT 1–2
- Millwall vs Bolton · FT 4–0
- Portsmouth vs Cardiff · FT 2–0
- QPR vs Middlesbrough · FT 0–1
- Sheffield United vs Norwich · FT 1–3
- West Brom vs Watford · FT 1–0
- West Ham vs Derby · FT 3–0
- Swansea vs Wrexham · FT 0–0