Millwall vs Bolton prediction
England Championship · Saturday 5 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Millwall to win as the most likely result (54%). It gives Millwall 54% at home, a draw 28% and Bolton 18%, so its call is 1: Millwall to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 49% / 27% / 24%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.6 for Millwall and 0.8 for Bolton; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 58%. Careful: there is little recent data on Bolton, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Millwall
Attack 12th of 24, defence 2nd of 24 in the league.
- L 0-3 v Wrexham 2026-09-02
- L 1-5 at Southampton 2026-08-29
- W 3-0 v Norwich 2026-08-22
- W 2-0 at Bristol City 2026-08-15
- W 2-0 v Oxford 2026-05-02
Bolton
Attack 21st of 24, defence 19th of 24 in the league.
- L 2-3 at Sheffield United 2026-09-01
- L 0-1 v Lincoln 2026-08-29
- D 0-0 at QPR 2026-08-22
- W 2-1 v Preston 2026-08-15
From 1152 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Sat 5 Sep
- Stoke vs Charlton · FT 4–0
- Preston vs Blackburn · FT 2–1
- Lincoln vs Southampton · FT 1–1
- Burnley vs Bristol City · FT 1–2
- Portsmouth vs Cardiff · FT 2–0
- QPR vs Middlesbrough · FT 0–1
- Sheffield United vs Norwich · FT 1–3
- West Brom vs Watford · FT 1–0
- West Ham vs Derby · FT 3–0
- Swansea vs Wrexham · FT 0–0