Portsmouth vs Cardiff prediction
England Championship · Saturday 5 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Portsmouth to win as the most likely result (45%). It gives Portsmouth 45% at home, a draw 27% and Cardiff 27%, so its call is 1: Portsmouth to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 39% / 26% / 34%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.5 for Portsmouth and 1.2 for Cardiff; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 51%. Careful: there is little recent data on Cardiff, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Portsmouth
Attack 16th of 24, defence 21st of 24 in the league.
- L 0-2 v Derby 2026-09-01
- L 1-2 at Bristol City 2026-08-29
- W 3-1 at Lincoln 2026-08-22
- L 1-3 v QPR 2026-08-15
- D 1-1 v Birmingham 2026-05-02
Cardiff
Attack 17th of 24, defence 24th of 24 in the league.
- L 1-2 at QPR 2026-09-02
- D 2-2 v Sheffield United 2026-08-29
- D 2-2 at Derby 2026-08-22
- D 1-1 v Wrexham 2026-08-17
- L 2-4 at Norwich 2025-05-03
From 1152 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Sat 5 Sep
- Stoke vs Charlton · FT 4–0
- Preston vs Blackburn · FT 2–1
- Lincoln vs Southampton · FT 1–1
- Burnley vs Bristol City · FT 1–2
- Millwall vs Bolton · FT 4–0
- QPR vs Middlesbrough · FT 0–1
- Sheffield United vs Norwich · FT 1–3
- West Brom vs Watford · FT 1–0
- West Ham vs Derby · FT 3–0
- Swansea vs Wrexham · FT 0–0