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SK Sturm Graz vs NK Celje prediction

UEFA Europa League · Thursday 5 November 2026, 21:00 WAT

Who wins?

SK Sturm GrazDrawNK Celje
Model 1X
40%31%29%
Market 1
63%20%17%

Brit Predictor's model rates SK Sturm Graz to win as the most likely result (40%). It gives SK Sturm Graz 40% at home, a draw 31% and NK Celje 29%, so its call is 1X: SK Sturm Graz to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 63% / 20% / 17%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.1 for SK Sturm Graz and 0.9 for NK Celje; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 68%.

Expected goals1.1 – 0.9
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 68% U2.5
Both teams score40%

Locked before kick-off (2026-11-03 16:40 UTC) and graded on that call. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

SK Sturm Graz

Attack 35th of 36, defence 12th of 36 among this competition's clubs. League: Austria top flight.

WLDWL
  • W 1-0 v Marseille 2026-10-22
  • L 0-3 at AFC Bournemouth 2026-10-15
  • D 0-0 v Stade Rennais 2026-09-16
  • W 1-0 v SK Brann 2026-01-29
  • L 0-3 at Feyenoord Rotterdam 2026-01-22

NK Celje

Attack 21st of 36, defence 32nd of 36 among this competition's clubs. League: a league we don't cover.

DLLWL
  • D 2-2 v RB Salzburg 2026-10-22
  • L 0-3 v Omonia Nicosia 2026-10-15
  • L 0-2 at Bayer Leverkusen 2026-09-16
  • W 2-0 at AEK Athens 2026-03-19
  • L 0-4 v AEK Athens 2026-03-12

From 20955 league, cup and European matches since 2024-07-13, recent games weighted more.

See every game on Thu 5 Nov

More UEFA Europa League games on Thu 5 Nov