Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille prediction

UEFA Europa League · Thursday 5 November 2026, 21:00 WAT

Who wins?

Bayer LeverkusenDrawMarseille

Model 1

57%20%23%

Market 1

70%17%13%

Brit Predictor's model rates Bayer Leverkusen to win as the most likely result (57%). It gives Bayer Leverkusen 57% at home, a draw 20% and Marseille 23%, so its call is 1: Bayer Leverkusen to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 70% / 17% / 13%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 2.3 for Bayer Leverkusen and 1.4 for Marseille; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 71%.

Expected goals2.3 – 1.4

GoalsOver 2.5 · 71% O2.5

Both teams score68%

Locked before kick-off (2026-11-03 16:40 UTC) and graded on that call. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form