Brit Predictor
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Sparta Prague vs AFC Bournemouth prediction

UEFA Europa League · Thursday 5 November 2026, 18:45 WAT

Who wins?

Sparta PragueDrawAFC Bournemouth
Model 2
16%76%
Market 2
15%20%65%

Brit Predictor's model rates AFC Bournemouth to win as the most likely result (76%). It gives Sparta Prague 8% at home, a draw 16% and AFC Bournemouth 76%, so its call is 2: AFC Bournemouth to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 15% / 20% / 65%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 0.7 for Sparta Prague and 2.5 for AFC Bournemouth; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 61%.

Expected goals0.7 – 2.5
GoalsOver 2.5 · 61%
Both teams score46%

Locked before kick-off (2026-11-03 16:40 UTC) and graded on that call. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Sparta Prague

Attack 30th of 36, defence 25th of 36 among this competition's clubs. League: a league we don't cover.

LDWLL
  • L 0-1 at Olympiacos 2026-10-22
  • D 1-1 v Lillestrom 2026-10-15
  • W 4-1 at Ararat-Armenia 2026-09-16
  • L 0-4 v AZ Alkmaar 2026-03-19
  • L 1-2 at AZ Alkmaar 2026-03-12

AFC Bournemouth

Attack 1st of 36, defence 3rd of 36 among this competition's clubs. League: England Premier League.

WWWWW
  • W 2-0 v Leeds United 2026-10-31
  • W 3-0 v Aston Villa 2026-10-28
  • W 3-0 at Manchester United 2026-10-25
  • W 3-0 v AC Milan 2026-10-22
  • W 2-0 v Sunderland 2026-10-18

From 20955 league, cup and European matches since 2024-07-13, recent games weighted more.

See every game on Thu 5 Nov

More UEFA Europa League games on Thu 5 Nov