Brit Predictor
Today's SportyBet codeJN8WFNOpen SportyBet18+ · Bet responsibly

Benfica vs Lech Poznan prediction

UEFA Europa League · Thursday 5 November 2026, 21:00 WAT

Who wins?

BenficaDrawLech Poznan
Model 1
86%10%
Market 1
84%10%

Brit Predictor's model rates Benfica to win as the most likely result (86%). It gives Benfica 86% at home, a draw 10% and Lech Poznan 5%, so its call is 1: Benfica to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 84% / 10% / 5%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 3.2 for Benfica and 0.7 for Lech Poznan; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 75%.

Expected goals3.2 – 0.7
GoalsOver 2.5 · 75% O2.5
Both teams score48%

Locked before kick-off (2026-11-03 16:40 UTC) and graded on that call. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Benfica

Attack 2nd of 36, defence 6th of 36 among this competition's clubs. League: Portugal Primeira Liga.

WWWWW
  • W 1-0 v Alverca 2026-11-02
  • W 2-1 at Santa Clara 2026-10-26
  • W 4-1 at Omonia Nicosia 2026-10-22
  • W 4-1 v Celtic 2026-10-15
  • W 2-0 v Vitória de Guimaraes 2026-10-11

Lech Poznan

Attack 23rd of 36, defence 29th of 36 among this competition's clubs. League: a league we don't cover.

DLLWL
  • D 1-1 v Sunderland 2026-10-22
  • L 0-4 v Bayer Leverkusen 2026-10-15
  • L 0-4 at Crystal Palace 2026-09-17
  • W 2-1 at Shakhtar Donetsk 2026-03-19
  • L 1-3 v Shakhtar Donetsk 2026-03-12

From 20955 league, cup and European matches since 2024-07-13, recent games weighted more.

See every game on Thu 5 Nov

More UEFA Europa League games on Thu 5 Nov