Brit Predictor
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AC Milan vs Ferencvaros prediction

UEFA Europa League · Thursday 5 November 2026, 18:45 WAT

Who wins?

AC MilanDrawFerencvaros
Model 1
65%20%16%
Market 1
75%16%10%

Brit Predictor's model rates AC Milan to win as the most likely result (65%). It gives AC Milan 65% at home, a draw 20% and Ferencvaros 16%, so its call is 1: AC Milan to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 75% / 16% / 10%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 2.2 for AC Milan and 1.0 for Ferencvaros; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 63%.

Expected goals2.2 – 1.0
GoalsOver 2.5 · 63%
Both teams score57%

Locked before kick-off (2026-11-03 16:40 UTC) and graded on that call. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

AC Milan

Attack 8th of 36, defence 8th of 36 among this competition's clubs. League: Italy Serie A.

WLWLW
  • W 3-1 v Internazionale 2026-10-31
  • L 2-4 v Bologna 2026-10-28
  • W 2-0 at Udinese 2026-10-25
  • L 0-3 at AFC Bournemouth 2026-10-22
  • W 3-2 v Atalanta 2026-10-18

Ferencvaros

Attack 13th of 36, defence 22nd of 36 among this competition's clubs. League: a league we don't cover.

WWWLW
  • W 4-1 v Torreense 2026-10-22
  • W 2-1 v Viktoria Plzen 2026-10-15
  • W 3-1 at Celtic 2026-09-17
  • L 0-4 at Braga 2026-03-18
  • W 2-0 v Braga 2026-03-12

From 20955 league, cup and European matches since 2024-07-13, recent games weighted more.

See every game on Thu 5 Nov

More UEFA Europa League games on Thu 5 Nov