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Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Bialystok prediction

UEFA Europa League · Thursday 5 November 2026, 18:45 WAT

Who wins?

Levski SofiaDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
Model 1
48%31%21%
Market 1
48%26%26%

Brit Predictor's model rates Levski Sofia to win as the most likely result (48%). It gives Levski Sofia 48% at home, a draw 31% and Jagiellonia Bialystok 21%, so its call is 1: Levski Sofia to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 48% / 26% / 26%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.2 for Levski Sofia and 0.7 for Jagiellonia Bialystok; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 71%. Careful: there is little recent data on Levski Sofia, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.2 – 0.7
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 71% U2.5
Both teams score35%

Locked before kick-off (2026-11-03 16:40 UTC) and graded on that call. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Levski Sofia

Attack 31st of 36, defence 14th of 36 among this competition's clubs. League: a league we don't cover.

WDL
  • W 2-1 at Viktoria Plzen 2026-10-22
  • D 1-1 at NEC Nijmegen 2026-10-15
  • L 0-1 v RB Salzburg 2026-09-17

Jagiellonia Bialystok

Attack 32nd of 36, defence 24th of 36 among this competition's clubs. League: a league we don't cover.

LWLLD
  • L 0-3 v Anderlecht 2026-10-22
  • W 3-1 v Ararat-Armenia 2026-10-15
  • L 1-2 at Olympiacos 2026-09-16
  • L 0-3 v Fiorentina 2026-02-19
  • D 0-0 at AZ Alkmaar 2025-12-18

From 20955 league, cup and European matches since 2024-07-13, recent games weighted more.

See every game on Thu 5 Nov

More UEFA Europa League games on Thu 5 Nov