Brit Predictor
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Real Sociedad vs Lyon prediction

UEFA Europa League · Thursday 5 November 2026, 18:45 WAT

Who wins?

Real SociedadDrawLyon
Model 1
45%24%31%
Market 1
53%23%24%

Brit Predictor's model rates Real Sociedad to win as the most likely result (45%). It gives Real Sociedad 45% at home, a draw 24% and Lyon 31%, so its call is 1: Real Sociedad to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 53% / 23% / 24%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.7 for Real Sociedad and 1.4 for Lyon; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 60%.

Expected goals1.7 – 1.4
GoalsOver 2.5 · 60%
Both teams score62%

Locked before kick-off (2026-11-03 16:40 UTC) and graded on that call. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Real Sociedad

Attack 6th of 36, defence 15th of 36 among this competition's clubs. League: Spain La Liga.

LWWWD
  • L 1-2 at Athletic Club 2026-11-01
  • W 2-1 v Levante 2026-10-25
  • W 6-0 at Lillestrom 2026-10-22
  • W 5-2 at Málaga 2026-10-18
  • D 1-1 at Union St.-Gilloise 2026-10-15

Lyon

Attack 9th of 36, defence 9th of 36 among this competition's clubs. League: France Ligue 1.

WLLWW
  • W 2-0 v Angers 2026-11-01
  • L 0-2 at Paris Saint-Germain 2026-10-26
  • L 0-3 at TSG Hoffenheim 2026-10-22
  • W 2-1 v Nice 2026-10-18
  • W 3-2 v Crystal Palace 2026-10-15

From 20955 league, cup and European matches since 2024-07-13, recent games weighted more.

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