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Celta Vigo vs Union St.-Gilloise prediction

UEFA Europa League · Thursday 5 November 2026, 21:00 WAT

Who wins?

Celta VigoDrawUnion St.-Gilloise
Model 12
32%29%39%
Market 1
44%25%31%

Brit Predictor's model rates Union St.-Gilloise to win as the most likely result (39%). It gives Celta Vigo 32% at home, a draw 29% and Union St.-Gilloise 39%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 44% / 25% / 31%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.1 for Celta Vigo and 1.2 for Union St.-Gilloise; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 59%.

Expected goals1.1 – 1.2
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 59%
Both teams score47%

Locked before kick-off (2026-11-03 16:40 UTC) and graded on that call. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Celta Vigo

Attack 14th of 36, defence 11th of 36 among this competition's clubs. League: Spain La Liga.

LDWWL
  • L 0-3 at Rayo Vallecano 2026-10-31
  • D 0-0 v Real Betis 2026-10-25
  • W 2-1 at Celtic 2026-10-22
  • W 2-1 v Alavés 2026-10-18
  • L 1-2 v Juventus 2026-10-15

Union St.-Gilloise

Attack 11th of 36, defence 2nd of 36 among this competition's clubs. League: Belgium Pro League.

WWWDD
  • W 2-1 at Beveren 2026-10-31
  • W 5-2 v Cercle Brugge KSV 2026-10-25
  • W 4-0 v Hapoel Be'er 2026-10-22
  • D 1-1 v Real Sociedad 2026-10-15
  • D 1-1 v Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2026-10-11

From 20955 league, cup and European matches since 2024-07-13, recent games weighted more.

See every game on Thu 5 Nov

More UEFA Europa League games on Thu 5 Nov