Brit Predictor

Swindon vs Colchester prediction

England League Two · Saturday 5 September 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeSwindon 3–1 ColchesterResult 1

Who wins?

SwindonDrawColchester
Model 12 ✓
41%27%33%
Market 12 ✓
35%27%38%

Brit Predictor's model rates Swindon to win as the most likely result (41%). It gives Swindon 41% at home, a draw 27% and Colchester 33%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 35% / 27% / 38%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.3 for Swindon and 1.2 for Colchester; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 54%.

Expected goals1.3 – 1.2
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 54%
Both teams score51%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Swindon

Attack 2nd of 24, defence 14th of 24 in the league.

WLWDL
  • W 3-1 v Port Vale 2026-09-01
  • L 0-3 at Oldham 2026-08-29
  • W 2-1 v Cheltenham 2026-08-22
  • D 0-0 at Northampton 2026-08-15
  • L 1-2 v Chesterfield 2026-05-02

Colchester

Attack 13th of 24, defence 2nd of 24 in the league.

LWWDW
  • L 0-2 at Bristol Rvs 2026-09-01
  • W 1-0 v Rochdale 2026-08-29
  • W 2-1 v Oldham 2026-08-22
  • D 2-2 at Accrington 2026-08-15
  • W 4-1 at Cheltenham 2026-05-02

From 1152 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

See every game on Sat 5 Sep

More England League Two games on Sat 5 Sep