Rochdale vs Gillingham prediction
England League Two · Saturday 5 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Rochdale to win as the most likely result (38%). It gives Rochdale 38% at home, a draw 28% and Gillingham 34%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 46% / 27% / 27%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.2 for Rochdale and 1.2 for Gillingham; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 57%. Careful: there is little recent data on Rochdale, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Rochdale
Attack 21st of 24, defence 22nd of 24 in the league.
- W 3-0 v Shrewsbury 2026-09-01
- L 0-1 at Colchester 2026-08-29
- L 1-2 v Crawley Town 2026-08-22
- L 0-3 at Newport County 2026-08-15
Gillingham
Attack 22nd of 24, defence 16th of 24 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Chesterfield 2026-09-01
- D 1-1 v Northampton 2026-08-29
- D 0-0 at Fleetwood Town 2026-08-22
- L 0-3 v Walsall 2026-08-15
- W 1-0 v Shrewsbury 2026-05-02
From 1152 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League Two games on Sat 5 Sep
- Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury · FT 2–0
- Salford vs Port Vale · FT 1–0
- Tranmere vs Oldham · FT 2–0
- Northampton vs Newport County · FT 1–0
- Exeter vs Walsall · FT 0–0
- Swindon vs Colchester · FT 3–1
- Chesterfield vs Barnet · FT 3–3
- Cheltenham vs Grimsby · FT 2–2
- Bristol Rvs vs Rotherham · FT 1–0
- Accrington vs Crawley Town · FT 3–2
- Crewe vs York · FT 1–1