Salford vs Port Vale prediction
England League Two · Saturday 5 September 2026, 13:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Salford to win as the most likely result (41%). It gives Salford 41% at home, a draw 28% and Port Vale 31%, so its call is 1: Salford to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 53% / 24% / 22%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.2 for Salford and 1.0 for Port Vale; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 60%. Careful: there is little recent data on Port Vale, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Salford
Attack 11th of 24, defence 7th of 24 in the league.
- W 2-1 v Newport County 2026-09-01
- L 0-1 at Shrewsbury 2026-08-29
- L 0-1 v Chesterfield 2026-08-22
- L 1-3 at Barnet 2026-08-15
- D 0-0 at Crawley Town 2026-05-02
Port Vale
Attack 12th of 24, defence 5th of 24 in the league.
- L 1-3 at Swindon 2026-09-01
- D 0-0 v Crewe 2026-08-29
- D 1-1 v Tranmere 2026-08-22
- L 0-2 at Oldham 2026-08-15
- L 0-1 v Gillingham 2025-05-03
From 1152 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League Two games on Sat 5 Sep
- Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury · FT 2–0
- Tranmere vs Oldham · FT 2–0
- Rochdale vs Gillingham · FT 1–4
- Northampton vs Newport County · FT 1–0
- Exeter vs Walsall · FT 0–0
- Swindon vs Colchester · FT 3–1
- Chesterfield vs Barnet · FT 3–3
- Cheltenham vs Grimsby · FT 2–2
- Bristol Rvs vs Rotherham · FT 1–0
- Accrington vs Crawley Town · FT 3–2
- Crewe vs York · FT 1–1