Northampton vs Newport County prediction
England League Two · Saturday 5 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Northampton to win as the most likely result (51%). It gives Northampton 51% at home, a draw 26% and Newport County 23%, so its call is 1: Northampton to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 55% / 25% / 19%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.5 for Northampton and 0.9 for Newport County; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 56%. Careful: there is little recent data on Northampton, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Northampton
Attack 20th of 24, defence 3rd of 24 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Crawley Town 2026-09-01
- D 1-1 at Gillingham 2026-08-29
- L 0-1 at Crewe 2026-08-22
- D 0-0 v Swindon 2026-08-15
Newport County
Attack 17th of 24, defence 24th of 24 in the league.
- L 1-2 at Salford 2026-09-01
- D 2-2 v Tranmere 2026-08-29
- L 3-5 at Bristol Rvs 2026-08-22
- W 3-0 v Rochdale 2026-08-15
- W 2-1 at Barrow 2026-05-02
From 1152 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League Two games on Sat 5 Sep
- Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury · FT 2–0
- Salford vs Port Vale · FT 1–0
- Tranmere vs Oldham · FT 2–0
- Rochdale vs Gillingham · FT 1–4
- Exeter vs Walsall · FT 0–0
- Swindon vs Colchester · FT 3–1
- Chesterfield vs Barnet · FT 3–3
- Cheltenham vs Grimsby · FT 2–2
- Bristol Rvs vs Rotherham · FT 1–0
- Accrington vs Crawley Town · FT 3–2
- Crewe vs York · FT 1–1