Crewe vs York prediction
England League Two · Saturday 5 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Crewe to win as the most likely result (51%). It gives Crewe 51% at home, a draw 24% and York 25%, so its call is 1: Crewe to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 33% / 27% / 40%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.7 for Crewe and 1.1 for York; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 53%. Careful: there is little recent data on York, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Crewe
Attack 14th of 24, defence 6th of 24 in the league.
- D 2-2 v Walsall 2026-09-01
- D 0-0 at Port Vale 2026-08-29
- W 1-0 v Northampton 2026-08-22
- W 1-0 at Crawley Town 2026-08-15
- D 0-0 v Cambridge 2026-05-02
York
Attack 8th of 24, defence 20th of 24 in the league.
- L 2-3 at Cheltenham 2026-09-01
- W 2-1 v Exeter 2026-08-29
- D 1-1 at Rotherham 2026-08-22
- W 3-2 v Bristol Rvs 2026-08-15
From 1152 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League Two games on Sat 5 Sep
- Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury · FT 2–0
- Salford vs Port Vale · FT 1–0
- Tranmere vs Oldham · FT 2–0
- Rochdale vs Gillingham · FT 1–4
- Northampton vs Newport County · FT 1–0
- Exeter vs Walsall · FT 0–0
- Swindon vs Colchester · FT 3–1
- Chesterfield vs Barnet · FT 3–3
- Cheltenham vs Grimsby · FT 2–2
- Bristol Rvs vs Rotherham · FT 1–0
- Accrington vs Crawley Town · FT 3–2