Accrington vs Crawley Town prediction
England League Two · Saturday 5 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Accrington to win as the most likely result (46%). It gives Accrington 46% at home, a draw 28% and Crawley Town 26%, so its call is 1: Accrington to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 46% / 26% / 28%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.3 for Accrington and 0.9 for Crawley Town; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 61%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Accrington
Attack 19th of 24, defence 17th of 24 in the league.
- D 2-2 v Grimsby 2026-09-01
- L 2-3 at Walsall 2026-08-29
- L 0-2 at Exeter 2026-08-22
- D 2-2 v Colchester 2026-08-15
- L 0-3 at Oldham 2026-05-02
Crawley Town
Attack 23rd of 24, defence 18th of 24 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Northampton 2026-09-01
- L 0-2 v Bristol Rvs 2026-08-29
- W 2-1 at Rochdale 2026-08-22
- L 0-1 v Crewe 2026-08-15
- D 0-0 v Salford 2026-05-02
From 1152 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League Two games on Sat 5 Sep
- Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury · FT 2–0
- Salford vs Port Vale · FT 1–0
- Tranmere vs Oldham · FT 2–0
- Rochdale vs Gillingham · FT 1–4
- Northampton vs Newport County · FT 1–0
- Exeter vs Walsall · FT 0–0
- Swindon vs Colchester · FT 3–1
- Chesterfield vs Barnet · FT 3–3
- Cheltenham vs Grimsby · FT 2–2
- Bristol Rvs vs Rotherham · FT 1–0
- Crewe vs York · FT 1–1