Brit Predictor

Cheltenham vs Grimsby prediction

England League Two · Saturday 5 September 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeCheltenham 2–2 GrimsbyResult X

Who wins?

CheltenhamDrawGrimsby
Model 2 ✗
29%23%48%
Market 2 ✗
30%26%44%

Brit Predictor's model rates Grimsby to win as the most likely result (48%). It gives Cheltenham 29% at home, a draw 23% and Grimsby 48%, so its call is 2: Grimsby to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 30% / 26% / 44%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.3 for Cheltenham and 1.8 for Grimsby; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 59%.

Expected goals1.3 – 1.8
GoalsOver 2.5 · 59%
Both teams score61%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Cheltenham

Attack 10th of 24, defence 23rd of 24 in the league.

WDLWL
  • W 3-2 v York 2026-09-01
  • D 2-2 at Barnet 2026-08-29
  • L 1-2 at Swindon 2026-08-22
  • W 2-1 v Rotherham 2026-08-15
  • L 1-4 v Colchester 2026-05-02

Grimsby

Attack 3rd of 24, defence 9th of 24 in the league.

DDDWD
  • D 2-2 at Accrington 2026-09-01
  • D 2-2 v Fleetwood Town 2026-08-29
  • D 0-0 at Walsall 2026-08-22
  • W 1-0 v Exeter 2026-08-15
  • D 1-1 at Tranmere 2026-05-02

From 1152 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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