Salford vs Newport County prediction
England League Two · Tuesday 1 September 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Salford to win as the most likely result (59%). It gives Salford 59% at home, a draw 22% and Newport County 19%, so its call is 1: Salford to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 69% / 18% / 13%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.9 for Salford and 1.0 for Newport County; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 54%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Salford
Attack 10th of 24, defence 7th of 24 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Shrewsbury 2026-08-29
- L 0-1 v Chesterfield 2026-08-22
- L 1-3 at Barnet 2026-08-15
- D 0-0 at Crawley Town 2026-05-02
- W 2-0 v Bromley 2026-04-23
Newport County
Attack 17th of 24, defence 24th of 24 in the league.
- D 2-2 v Tranmere 2026-08-29
- L 3-5 at Bristol Rvs 2026-08-22
- W 3-0 v Rochdale 2026-08-15
- W 2-1 at Barrow 2026-05-02
- W 3-2 v Oldham 2026-04-25
From 1140 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League Two games on Tue 1 Sep
- Tranmere vs Rotherham · FT 2–2
- Swindon vs Port Vale · FT 3–1
- Rochdale vs Shrewsbury · FT 3–0
- Northampton vs Crawley Town · FT 1–1
- Fleetwood Town vs Oldham · FT 1–1
- Crewe vs Walsall · FT 2–2
- Chesterfield vs Gillingham · FT 1–1
- Cheltenham vs York · FT 3–2
- Bristol Rvs vs Colchester · FT 2–0
- Accrington vs Grimsby · FT 2–2
- Exeter vs Barnet · FT 1–1