Accrington vs Grimsby prediction
England League Two · Tuesday 1 September 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Grimsby to win as the most likely result (47%). It gives Accrington 27% at home, a draw 25% and Grimsby 47%, so its call is 2: Grimsby to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 26% / 26% / 48%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.1 for Accrington and 1.5 for Grimsby; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 52%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Accrington
Attack 19th of 24, defence 16th of 24 in the league.
- L 2-3 at Walsall 2026-08-29
- L 0-2 at Exeter 2026-08-22
- D 2-2 v Colchester 2026-08-15
- L 0-3 at Oldham 2026-05-02
- D 3-3 v Crawley Town 2026-04-25
Grimsby
Attack 3rd of 24, defence 8th of 24 in the league.
- D 2-2 v Fleetwood Town 2026-08-29
- D 0-0 at Walsall 2026-08-22
- W 1-0 v Exeter 2026-08-15
- D 1-1 at Tranmere 2026-05-02
- W 4-0 v Swindon 2026-04-25
From 1140 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League Two games on Tue 1 Sep
- Tranmere vs Rotherham · FT 2–2
- Swindon vs Port Vale · FT 3–1
- Salford vs Newport County · FT 2–1
- Rochdale vs Shrewsbury · FT 3–0
- Northampton vs Crawley Town · FT 1–1
- Fleetwood Town vs Oldham · FT 1–1
- Crewe vs Walsall · FT 2–2
- Chesterfield vs Gillingham · FT 1–1
- Cheltenham vs York · FT 3–2
- Bristol Rvs vs Colchester · FT 2–0
- Exeter vs Barnet · FT 1–1