Northampton vs Crawley Town prediction
England League Two · Tuesday 1 September 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Northampton to win as the most likely result (52%). It gives Northampton 52% at home, a draw 28% and Crawley Town 20%, so its call is 1: Northampton to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 59% / 23% / 18%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.3 for Northampton and 0.7 for Crawley Town; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 68%. Careful: there is little recent data on Northampton, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Northampton
Attack 20th of 24, defence 3rd of 24 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Gillingham 2026-08-29
- L 0-1 at Crewe 2026-08-22
- D 0-0 v Swindon 2026-08-15
Crawley Town
Attack 23rd of 24, defence 18th of 24 in the league.
- L 0-2 v Bristol Rvs 2026-08-29
- W 2-1 at Rochdale 2026-08-22
- L 0-1 v Crewe 2026-08-15
- D 0-0 v Salford 2026-05-02
- D 3-3 at Accrington 2026-04-25
From 1140 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League Two games on Tue 1 Sep
- Tranmere vs Rotherham · FT 2–2
- Swindon vs Port Vale · FT 3–1
- Salford vs Newport County · FT 2–1
- Rochdale vs Shrewsbury · FT 3–0
- Fleetwood Town vs Oldham · FT 1–1
- Crewe vs Walsall · FT 2–2
- Chesterfield vs Gillingham · FT 1–1
- Cheltenham vs York · FT 3–2
- Bristol Rvs vs Colchester · FT 2–0
- Accrington vs Grimsby · FT 2–2
- Exeter vs Barnet · FT 1–1