Cheltenham vs York prediction
England League Two · Tuesday 1 September 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates York to win as the most likely result (40%). It gives Cheltenham 37% at home, a draw 23% and York 40%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 26% / 26% / 49%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.5 for Cheltenham and 1.6 for York; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 60%. Careful: there is little recent data on York, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Cheltenham
Attack 12th of 24, defence 22nd of 24 in the league.
- D 2-2 at Barnet 2026-08-29
- L 1-2 at Swindon 2026-08-22
- W 2-1 v Rotherham 2026-08-15
- L 1-4 v Colchester 2026-05-02
- L 0-4 at Bristol Rvs 2026-04-25
York
Attack 8th of 24, defence 15th of 24 in the league.
- W 2-1 v Exeter 2026-08-29
- D 1-1 at Rotherham 2026-08-22
- W 3-2 v Bristol Rvs 2026-08-15
From 1140 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League Two games on Tue 1 Sep
- Tranmere vs Rotherham · FT 2–2
- Swindon vs Port Vale · FT 3–1
- Salford vs Newport County · FT 2–1
- Rochdale vs Shrewsbury · FT 3–0
- Northampton vs Crawley Town · FT 1–1
- Fleetwood Town vs Oldham · FT 1–1
- Crewe vs Walsall · FT 2–2
- Chesterfield vs Gillingham · FT 1–1
- Bristol Rvs vs Colchester · FT 2–0
- Accrington vs Grimsby · FT 2–2
- Exeter vs Barnet · FT 1–1