Brit Predictor

Rochdale vs Shrewsbury prediction

England League Two · Tuesday 1 September 2026, 20:45 WAT

Full timeRochdale 3–0 ShrewsburyResult 1

Who wins?

RochdaleDrawShrewsbury
Model 12 ✓
38%29%34%
Market 1 ✓
42%28%30%

Brit Predictor's model rates Rochdale to win as the most likely result (38%). It gives Rochdale 38% at home, a draw 29% and Shrewsbury 34%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 42% / 28% / 30%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.1 for Rochdale and 1.1 for Shrewsbury; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 62%. Careful: there is little recent data on Rochdale, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.1 – 1.1
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 62%
Both teams score44%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Rochdale

Attack 22nd of 24, defence 23rd of 24 in the league.

LLL
  • L 0-1 at Colchester 2026-08-29
  • L 1-2 v Crawley Town 2026-08-22
  • L 0-3 at Newport County 2026-08-15

Shrewsbury

Attack 24th of 24, defence 20th of 24 in the league.

WLLLD
  • W 1-0 v Salford 2026-08-29
  • L 1-3 v Barnet 2026-08-22
  • L 0-2 at Tranmere 2026-08-15
  • L 0-1 at Gillingham 2026-05-02
  • D 2-2 v Fleetwood Town 2026-04-25

From 1140 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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