Brit Predictor

Chesterfield vs Gillingham prediction

England League Two · Tuesday 1 September 2026, 20:45 WAT

Full timeChesterfield 1–1 GillinghamResult X

Who wins?

ChesterfieldDrawGillingham
Model 1 ✗
60%22%18%
Market 1 ✗
62%23%15%

Brit Predictor's model rates Chesterfield to win as the most likely result (60%). It gives Chesterfield 60% at home, a draw 22% and Gillingham 18%, so its call is 1: Chesterfield to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 62% / 23% / 15%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.8 for Chesterfield and 0.9 for Gillingham; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 51%.

Expected goals1.8 – 0.9
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 51%
Both teams score48%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Chesterfield

Attack 2nd of 24, defence 9th of 24 in the league.

LWLWW
  • L 1-2 at Rotherham 2026-08-29
  • W 1-0 at Salford 2026-08-22
  • L 0-1 v Fleetwood Town 2026-08-15
  • W 2-1 at Swindon 2026-05-02
  • W 2-0 v Crewe 2026-04-25

Gillingham

Attack 21st of 24, defence 17th of 24 in the league.

DDLWL
  • D 1-1 v Northampton 2026-08-29
  • D 0-0 at Fleetwood Town 2026-08-22
  • L 0-3 v Walsall 2026-08-15
  • W 1-0 v Shrewsbury 2026-05-02
  • L 2-6 at Barnet 2026-04-25

From 1140 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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