Swindon vs Cheltenham prediction
England League Two · Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Swindon to win as the most likely result (59%). It gives Swindon 59% at home, a draw 20% and Cheltenham 21%, so its call is 1: Swindon to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 49% / 26% / 25%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.1 for Swindon and 1.2 for Cheltenham; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 63%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Swindon
Attack 6th of 24, defence 15th of 24 in the league.
- D 0-0 at Northampton 2026-08-15
- L 1-2 v Chesterfield 2026-05-02
- L 0-4 at Grimsby 2026-04-25
- D 2-2 v Accrington 2026-04-18
- L 0-3 at Colchester 2026-04-10
Cheltenham
Attack 15th of 24, defence 24th of 24 in the league.
- W 2-1 v Rotherham 2026-08-15
- L 1-4 v Colchester 2026-05-02
- L 0-4 at Bristol Rvs 2026-04-25
- L 1-3 v Tranmere 2026-04-21
- W 1-0 v Newport County 2026-04-18
From 1116 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League Two games on Sat 22 Aug
- Bristol Rvs vs Newport County · FT 5–3
- Salford vs Chesterfield · FT 0–1
- Walsall vs Grimsby · FT 0–0
- Shrewsbury vs Barnet · FT 1–3
- Rotherham vs York · FT 1–1
- Rochdale vs Crawley Town · FT 1–2
- Port Vale vs Tranmere · FT 1–1
- Crewe vs Northampton · FT 1–0
- Exeter vs Accrington · FT 2–0
- Colchester vs Oldham · FT 2–1
- Fleetwood Town vs Gillingham · FT 0–0