Brit Predictor

Bristol Rvs vs Newport County prediction

England League Two · Saturday 22 August 2026, 13:30 WAT

Full timeBristol Rvs 5–3 Newport CountyResult 1

Who wins?

Bristol RvsDrawNewport County
Model 1 ✓
53%23%24%
Market 1 ✓
57%24%19%

Brit Predictor's model rates Bristol Rvs to win as the most likely result (53%). It gives Bristol Rvs 53% at home, a draw 23% and Newport County 24%, so its call is 1: Bristol Rvs to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 57% / 24% / 19%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.8 for Bristol Rvs and 1.1 for Newport County; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 56%.

Expected goals1.8 – 1.1
GoalsOver 2.5 · 56%
Both teams score56%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Bristol Rvs

Attack 13th of 24, defence 18th of 24 in the league.

LDWWW
  • L 2-3 at York 2026-08-15
  • D 1-1 at Notts County 2026-05-02
  • W 4-0 v Cheltenham 2026-04-25
  • W 2-1 at Tranmere 2026-04-18
  • W 3-1 v Crawley Town 2026-04-11

Newport County

Attack 19th of 24, defence 23rd of 24 in the league.

WWWLW
  • W 3-0 v Rochdale 2026-08-15
  • W 2-1 at Barrow 2026-05-02
  • W 3-2 v Oldham 2026-04-25
  • L 0-1 at Cheltenham 2026-04-18
  • W 2-1 v Harrogate 2026-04-11

From 1116 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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