Brit Predictor

Rotherham vs York prediction

England League Two · Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeRotherham 1–1 YorkResult X

Who wins?

RotherhamDrawYork
Model 1 ✗
49%24%27%
Market 12 ✗
34%27%39%

Brit Predictor's model rates Rotherham to win as the most likely result (49%). It gives Rotherham 49% at home, a draw 24% and York 27%, so its call is 1: Rotherham to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 34% / 27% / 39%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.6 for Rotherham and 1.1 for York; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 52%. Careful: there is little recent data on Rotherham, York, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.6 – 1.1
GoalsOver 2.5 · 52%
Both teams score54%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Rotherham

Attack 5th of 24, defence 5th of 24 in the league.

L
  • L 1-2 at Cheltenham 2026-08-15

York

Attack 3rd of 24, defence 14th of 24 in the league.

W
  • W 3-2 v Bristol Rvs 2026-08-15

From 1116 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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