Salford vs Chesterfield prediction
England League Two · Saturday 22 August 2026, 13:30 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Salford to win as the most likely result (40%). It gives Salford 40% at home, a draw 26% and Chesterfield 35%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 48% / 27% / 25%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.4 for Salford and 1.2 for Chesterfield; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 52%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Salford
Attack 12th of 24, defence 7th of 24 in the league.
- L 1-3 at Barnet 2026-08-15
- D 0-0 at Crawley Town 2026-05-02
- W 2-0 v Bromley 2026-04-23
- W 2-1 at Oldham 2026-04-18
- D 0-0 v Gillingham 2026-04-11
Chesterfield
Attack 4th of 24, defence 11th of 24 in the league.
- L 0-1 v Fleetwood Town 2026-08-15
- W 2-1 at Swindon 2026-05-02
- W 2-0 v Crewe 2026-04-25
- D 1-1 at Fleetwood Town 2026-04-18
- W 2-1 v Grimsby 2026-04-14
From 1116 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League Two games on Sat 22 Aug
- Bristol Rvs vs Newport County · FT 5–3
- Walsall vs Grimsby · FT 0–0
- Shrewsbury vs Barnet · FT 1–3
- Rotherham vs York · FT 1–1
- Rochdale vs Crawley Town · FT 1–2
- Port Vale vs Tranmere · FT 1–1
- Crewe vs Northampton · FT 1–0
- Exeter vs Accrington · FT 2–0
- Swindon vs Cheltenham · FT 2–1
- Colchester vs Oldham · FT 2–1
- Fleetwood Town vs Gillingham · FT 0–0