Rochdale vs Crawley Town prediction

Who wins?

Brit Predictor's model rates Rochdale to win as the most likely result (49%). It gives Rochdale 49% at home, a draw 26% and Crawley Town 25%, so its call is 1: Rochdale to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 53% / 25% / 22%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.4 for Rochdale and 0.9 for Crawley Town; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 59%. Careful: there is little recent data on Rochdale, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

From 1116 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.