Crewe vs Northampton prediction
England League Two · Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Northampton to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives Crewe 29% at home, a draw 29% and Northampton 42%, so its call is 2: Northampton to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 44% / 27% / 29%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 0.9 for Crewe and 1.2 for Northampton; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 65%. Careful: there is little recent data on Northampton, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Crewe
Attack 16th of 24, defence 8th of 24 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Crawley Town 2026-08-15
- D 0-0 v Cambridge 2026-05-02
- L 0-2 at Chesterfield 2026-04-25
- L 1-3 v Milton Keynes Dons 2026-04-18
- L 2-3 at Grimsby 2026-04-11
Northampton
Attack 9th of 24, defence 1st of 24 in the league.
- D 0-0 v Swindon 2026-08-15
From 1116 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League Two games on Sat 22 Aug
- Bristol Rvs vs Newport County · FT 5–3
- Salford vs Chesterfield · FT 0–1
- Walsall vs Grimsby · FT 0–0
- Shrewsbury vs Barnet · FT 1–3
- Rotherham vs York · FT 1–1
- Rochdale vs Crawley Town · FT 1–2
- Port Vale vs Tranmere · FT 1–1
- Exeter vs Accrington · FT 2–0
- Swindon vs Cheltenham · FT 2–1
- Colchester vs Oldham · FT 2–1
- Fleetwood Town vs Gillingham · FT 0–0