Wrexham vs Southampton prediction
England Championship · Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Southampton to win as the most likely result (48%). It gives Wrexham 29% at home, a draw 23% and Southampton 48%, so its call is 2: Southampton to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 36% / 26% / 38%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.5 for Wrexham and 2.0 for Southampton; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 68%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Wrexham
Attack 6th of 24, defence 20th of 24 in the league.
- L 0-6 at West Ham 2026-09-11
- D 1-1 v Burnley 2026-09-08
- D 0-0 at Swansea 2026-09-05
- W 3-0 at Millwall 2026-09-02
- L 1-2 v Birmingham 2026-08-28
Southampton
Attack 2nd of 24, defence 10th of 24 in the league.
- W 4-1 v Bristol City 2026-09-12
- W 3-1 v Swansea 2026-09-08
- D 1-1 at Lincoln 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 at Birmingham 2026-09-01
- W 5-1 v Millwall 2026-08-29
From 1188 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Sat 19 Sep
- Cardiff vs Charlton · FT 3–1
- Millwall vs West Ham · FT 2–2
- Stoke vs Sheffield United · FT 2–1
- QPR vs Preston · FT 2–2
- Portsmouth vs Blackburn · FT 2–2
- Lincoln vs Swansea · FT 1–2
- Burnley vs Derby · FT 1–1
- Birmingham vs Middlesbrough · FT 2–2