Birmingham vs Middlesbrough prediction
England Championship · Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Middlesbrough to win as the most likely result (36%). It gives Birmingham 35% at home, a draw 29% and Middlesbrough 36%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 34% / 26% / 41%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.3 for Birmingham and 1.3 for Middlesbrough; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 53%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Birmingham
Attack 12th of 24, defence 6th of 24 in the league.
- W 2-1 at Derby 2026-09-12
- L 1-2 at Norwich 2026-09-09
- D 2-2 v Wolves 2026-09-06
- D 1-1 v Southampton 2026-09-01
- W 2-1 at Wrexham 2026-08-28
Middlesbrough
Attack 4th of 24, defence 5th of 24 in the league.
- D 2-2 v Millwall 2026-09-15
- W 4-3 v Norwich 2026-09-12
- W 1-0 at QPR 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 at Burnley 2026-09-02
- W 3-1 v West Brom 2026-08-29
From 1188 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Sat 19 Sep
- Cardiff vs Charlton · FT 3–1
- Millwall vs West Ham · FT 2–2
- Stoke vs Sheffield United · FT 2–1
- Wrexham vs Southampton · FT 2–1
- QPR vs Preston · FT 2–2
- Portsmouth vs Blackburn · FT 2–2
- Lincoln vs Swansea · FT 1–2
- Burnley vs Derby · FT 1–1