Brit Predictor
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Lincoln vs Swansea prediction

England Championship · Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeLincoln 1–2 SwanseaResult 2

Who wins?

LincolnDrawSwansea
Model 12 ✓
34%33%33%
Market 12 ✓
31%28%40%

Brit Predictor's model rates Lincoln to win as the most likely result (34%). It gives Lincoln 34% at home, a draw 33% and Swansea 33%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 31% / 28% / 40%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.0 for Lincoln and 1.0 for Swansea; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 67%. Careful: there is little recent data on Lincoln, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.0 – 1.0
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 67%
Both teams score41%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Lincoln

Attack 23rd of 24, defence 2nd of 24 in the league.

WWDDW
  • W 1-0 at Bristol City 2026-09-15
  • W 1-0 at Preston 2026-09-12
  • D 1-1 v Southampton 2026-09-05
  • D 0-0 v Blackburn 2026-09-01
  • W 1-0 at Bolton 2026-08-29

Swansea

Attack 11th of 24, defence 8th of 24 in the league.

WLDWW
  • W 3-1 v Burnley 2026-09-12
  • L 1-3 at Southampton 2026-09-08
  • D 0-0 v Wrexham 2026-09-05
  • W 2-0 v Watford 2026-09-01
  • W 3-0 at Derby 2026-08-29

From 1188 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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