Cardiff vs Charlton prediction
England Championship · Saturday 19 September 2026, 13:30 WAT
- Model called 1X ✓ (home win or draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Cardiff to win as the most likely result (36%). It gives Cardiff 36% at home, a draw 32% and Charlton 32%, so its call is 1X: Cardiff to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 58% / 22% / 20%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.1 for Cardiff and 1.0 for Charlton; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 66%. Careful: there is little recent data on Cardiff, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Cardiff
Attack 22nd of 24, defence 23rd of 24 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Bolton 2026-09-12
- D 1-1 v Stoke 2026-09-08
- L 0-2 at Portsmouth 2026-09-05
- L 1-2 at QPR 2026-09-02
- D 2-2 v Sheffield United 2026-08-29
Charlton
Attack 24th of 24, defence 9th of 24 in the league.
- D 0-0 v Portsmouth 2026-09-12
- D 0-0 v QPR 2026-09-09
- L 0-4 at Stoke 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 at West Brom 2026-09-02
- W 1-0 v Preston 2026-08-29
From 1188 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Sat 19 Sep
- Millwall vs West Ham · FT 2–2
- Stoke vs Sheffield United · FT 2–1
- Wrexham vs Southampton · FT 2–1
- QPR vs Preston · FT 2–2
- Portsmouth vs Blackburn · FT 2–2
- Lincoln vs Swansea · FT 1–2
- Burnley vs Derby · FT 1–1
- Birmingham vs Middlesbrough · FT 2–2