Millwall vs West Ham prediction
England Championship · Saturday 19 September 2026, 13:30 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates West Ham to win as the most likely result (40%). It gives Millwall 35% at home, a draw 25% and West Ham 40%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 19% / 23% / 59%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.5 for Millwall and 1.6 for West Ham; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 60%. Careful: there is little recent data on West Ham, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Millwall
Attack 9th of 24, defence 3rd of 24 in the league.
- D 2-2 at Middlesbrough 2026-09-15
- L 1-3 at Blackburn 2026-09-12
- W 4-0 v Bolton 2026-09-05
- L 0-3 v Wrexham 2026-09-02
- L 1-5 at Southampton 2026-08-29
West Ham
Attack 1st of 24, defence 12th of 24 in the league.
- W 6-0 v Wrexham 2026-09-11
- W 3-2 at Bolton 2026-09-08
- W 3-0 v Derby 2026-09-05
- W 4-2 v Wolves 2026-09-01
- D 1-1 at Watford 2026-08-29
From 1188 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Sat 19 Sep
- Cardiff vs Charlton · FT 3–1
- Stoke vs Sheffield United · FT 2–1
- Wrexham vs Southampton · FT 2–1
- QPR vs Preston · FT 2–2
- Portsmouth vs Blackburn · FT 2–2
- Lincoln vs Swansea · FT 1–2
- Burnley vs Derby · FT 1–1
- Birmingham vs Middlesbrough · FT 2–2