Mainz vs Ein Frankfurt prediction
Germany Bundesliga · Saturday 12 September 2026, 15:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Mainz to win as the most likely result (46%). It gives Mainz 46% at home, a draw 24% and Ein Frankfurt 30%, so its call is 1: Mainz to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 55% / 22% / 22%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.8 for Mainz and 1.4 for Ein Frankfurt; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 63%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Mainz
Attack 11th of 18, defence 4th of 18 in the league.
- W 5-0 at Hamburg 2026-09-06
- D 0-0 v Paderborn 2026-08-29
- W 2-0 at Heidenheim 2026-05-16
- L 1-3 v Union Berlin 2026-05-10
- W 2-1 at St Pauli 2026-05-03
Ein Frankfurt
Attack 6th of 18, defence 17th of 18 in the league.
- L 1-4 v Augsburg 2026-09-06
- D 3-3 at Union Berlin 2026-08-29
- D 2-2 v Stuttgart 2026-05-16
- L 2-3 at Dortmund 2026-05-08
- L 1-2 v Hamburg 2026-05-02
From 631 league matches since 2024-08-23, recent games weighted more.
More Germany Bundesliga games on Sat 12 Sep
- Augsburg vs Leverkusen · FT 2–2
- Dortmund vs Paderborn · FT 3–0
- Freiburg vs M'gladbach · FT 5–0
- Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart · FT 2–1
- FC Koln vs Werder Bremen · FT 1–1