Augsburg vs Leverkusen prediction
Germany Bundesliga · Saturday 12 September 2026, 15:30 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Leverkusen to win as the most likely result (51%). It gives Augsburg 25% at home, a draw 24% and Leverkusen 51%, so its call is 2: Leverkusen to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 26% / 23% / 51%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.2 for Augsburg and 1.8 for Leverkusen; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 60%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Augsburg
Attack 14th of 18, defence 9th of 18 in the league.
- W 4-1 at Ein Frankfurt 2026-09-06
- W 3-0 v Schalke 04 2026-08-30
- L 0-4 at Union Berlin 2026-05-16
- W 3-1 v M'gladbach 2026-05-09
- W 3-1 at Werder Bremen 2026-05-02
Leverkusen
Attack 4th of 18, defence 3rd of 18 in the league.
- W 4-0 v Union Berlin 2026-09-05
- L 2-3 at Elversberg 2026-08-29
- D 1-1 v Hamburg 2026-05-16
- L 1-3 at Stuttgart 2026-05-09
- W 4-1 v RB Leipzig 2026-05-02
From 631 league matches since 2024-08-23, recent games weighted more.
More Germany Bundesliga games on Sat 12 Sep
- Dortmund vs Paderborn · FT 3–0
- Freiburg vs M'gladbach · FT 5–0
- Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart · FT 2–1
- Mainz vs Ein Frankfurt · FT 1–3
- FC Koln vs Werder Bremen · FT 1–1