FC Koln vs Werder Bremen prediction
Germany Bundesliga · Saturday 12 September 2026, 18:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates FC Koln to win as the most likely result (45%). It gives FC Koln 45% at home, a draw 25% and Werder Bremen 31%, so its call is 1: FC Koln to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 47% / 24% / 29%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.7 for FC Koln and 1.4 for Werder Bremen; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 61%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
FC Koln
Attack 10th of 18, defence 18th of 18 in the league.
- L 1-4 at Stuttgart 2026-09-04
- W 3-2 v Hoffenheim 2026-08-29
- L 1-5 at Bayern Munich 2026-05-16
- L 1-3 v Heidenheim 2026-05-10
- D 2-2 at Union Berlin 2026-05-02
Werder Bremen
Attack 15th of 18, defence 13th of 18 in the league.
- W 3-1 v RB Leipzig 2026-09-05
- L 1-4 at Freiburg 2026-08-30
- L 0-2 v Dortmund 2026-05-16
- L 0-1 at Hoffenheim 2026-05-09
- L 1-3 v Augsburg 2026-05-02
From 631 league matches since 2024-08-23, recent games weighted more.
More Germany Bundesliga games on Sat 12 Sep
- Augsburg vs Leverkusen · FT 2–2
- Dortmund vs Paderborn · FT 3–0
- Freiburg vs M'gladbach · FT 5–0
- Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart · FT 2–1
- Mainz vs Ein Frankfurt · FT 1–3