Freiburg vs M'gladbach prediction
Germany Bundesliga · Saturday 12 September 2026, 15:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Freiburg to win as the most likely result (48%). It gives Freiburg 48% at home, a draw 25% and M'gladbach 27%, so its call is 1: Freiburg to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 58% / 22% / 21%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.7 for Freiburg and 1.3 for M'gladbach; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 57%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Freiburg
Attack 9th of 18, defence 10th of 18 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Paderborn 2026-09-05
- W 4-1 v Werder Bremen 2026-08-30
- W 4-1 v RB Leipzig 2026-05-16
- L 2-3 at Hamburg 2026-05-10
- D 1-1 v Wolfsburg 2026-05-03
M'gladbach
Attack 13th of 18, defence 11th of 18 in the league.
- L 3-4 v Elversberg 2026-09-05
- L 0-3 at RB Leipzig 2026-08-29
- W 4-0 v Hoffenheim 2026-05-16
- L 1-3 at Augsburg 2026-05-09
- W 1-0 v Dortmund 2026-05-03
From 631 league matches since 2024-08-23, recent games weighted more.
More Germany Bundesliga games on Sat 12 Sep
- Augsburg vs Leverkusen · FT 2–2
- Dortmund vs Paderborn · FT 3–0
- Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart · FT 2–1
- Mainz vs Ein Frankfurt · FT 1–3
- FC Koln vs Werder Bremen · FT 1–1