Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart prediction
Germany Bundesliga · Saturday 12 September 2026, 15:30 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Stuttgart to win as the most likely result (45%). It gives Hoffenheim 33% at home, a draw 22% and Stuttgart 45%, so its call is 2: Stuttgart to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 44% / 23% / 33%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.8 for Hoffenheim and 2.1 for Stuttgart; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 75%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Hoffenheim
Attack 8th of 18, defence 16th of 18 in the league.
- L 2-3 v Dortmund 2026-09-05
- L 2-3 at FC Koln 2026-08-29
- L 0-4 at M'gladbach 2026-05-16
- W 1-0 v Werder Bremen 2026-05-09
- D 3-3 v Stuttgart 2026-05-02
Stuttgart
Attack 2nd of 18, defence 8th of 18 in the league.
- W 4-1 v FC Koln 2026-09-04
- L 1-5 at Bayern Munich 2026-08-28
- D 2-2 at Ein Frankfurt 2026-05-16
- W 3-1 v Leverkusen 2026-05-09
- D 3-3 at Hoffenheim 2026-05-02
From 631 league matches since 2024-08-23, recent games weighted more.
More Germany Bundesliga games on Sat 12 Sep
- Augsburg vs Leverkusen · FT 2–2
- Dortmund vs Paderborn · FT 3–0
- Freiburg vs M'gladbach · FT 5–0
- Mainz vs Ein Frankfurt · FT 1–3
- FC Koln vs Werder Bremen · FT 1–1